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hey guys welcome to court finance my name is Alessio let's take a look at Bitcoin it's what everyone's talking about the question I want to ask in this video are straight to questions is Bitcoin in a bubble and if it isn't a bubble then so what what do we do about it what patterns can we recognize so take a look at this chart that I'm looking at here and wow look at this I mean does that look familiar to you and it should especially those of you remember what happened 17 years ago right this is what happened 17 years ago if you're old enough to remember of course the 2001 dot-com crash and by the way let me just say this that if you're not old enough to remember the dot-com crash the famous stock market crash that happened 17 years ago then you're lucky because that means you're not gonna make the same mistakes and hopefully your parents made that I made and probably millions of people made that caused them to lose lots of money so pay attention to this video look at this chart and notice just compare this chart that I'm looking at here with the previous chart you will see a tremendous rise I'm like as Bitcoin has risen by or a thousand nearly thousand percent from gun from seven hundred bucks to nearly eight thousand dollars just recently but as you can see as you can see here about 17 years ago when we had a dot-com bubble that is precisely what happened let me just say this there's a famous story by the trader John Carter in his book and he said that his plumber yes his plumber said to him that he was gonna quit his day job as a plumber and basically day trade dot-com stocks and as soon as he heard that news the first thing that he did the first thing I John Carter did was to essentially look for shorting opportunities in other words betting against the dot-com market at that time very smart move in let me just so show you this the key mistake that people made and I want to make sure you understand this because the mistake that people made in previous bubbles in history like the dot-com bubble like the house market crash will repeat themselves these mistakes are still going to be made today and yes even the the Bitcoin bubble take a look because what was happening back then in the year 1980 in the late 90s first of all a lot of folks were saying that the bubble had ended right over here take a look at that where I put my Harrell right there so a lot of folks were saying okay so here's where the bubble has ended they were wrong because it continued to go higher okay so a lot of folks who were predicting the top in a dot-com bubble we're completely wrong on their call and that was a huge mistake because basically they missed out on the rest of that move higher so one thing to remember guys much of two things to remember is firstly it is very difficult to try to time the top in the market it's very difficult to say well this is when the bubble is gonna end you cannot do it as impossible as the famous trader Jim Rogers said the markets can actually go beyond what you can possibly imagine number two as the other trader Linda Raschke said in the book market Wizards she said that you cannot predict magnitude in a market you cannot predict how extend the extent to which a market can move you can predict the direction but it's almost impossible to predict the magnitude all right so folks out there who are looking at buying Bitcoin you match there's many good news for you because if there potentially could be even though it's in a bubble yes I agree it is don't make the same mistake that our parents and many of our many many folks made back in the late 2000s in the late 90s when they thought that the bubble had finished here when actually continued to rise and double in value all right so that's on the Nasdaq combo now let's go to the 1980s now I was a 10 years old when this happened in the name in 1987 famous crash by the way let me just say this if you weren't around in the 1980s then you're really missed out on a fantastic decade because we had the best films and the best music I mean I can't imagine what what kind of garbage that people are listening to nowadays in today's generation can anyone tell me what the hell is Lady gaga but seriously take a look at this this is was the news headlines back in 1987 when the Wall Street stock market basicly crashed the Dow dropped by 500 points you can see right there and take a look at this headline the yuppies gassed at end of the boom by the way because we don't know what yuppies means then you probably never wash Only Fools and Horses yuppies was an atheist term for young folks who were on the up in other words climbing the social ladder these are mostly young men young white males who were making tons of money in the inner city while most of Britain was essentially getting poorer and poorer but anyway the bottom line is that this caused a huge huge bubble the market crash of course happened in 1987 October 1987 I remembered very well because actually for those of you remember it happened just very close to the hurricane that we had in 1987 almost all of the games all the games of that year wiped out in about a couple of weeks 20% crash in the market again there were clues and I'm by the way in future videos I'm gonna tell you some of the sell strategies some of the some of the actual techniques you can use to know when to get out of the market but in any case you can see some of the huge gigantic moves that occurred let's go back to the first bubble in history the first recorded bubble in history that was the tulip bubble all right so can you ever imagine that the price of a tulip the flower a flower can actually become more than the price of a house yes guys back in the year 16 in the 1630s from 1634 1637 in 17th century the price of a flower to tulip skyrocketed went from almost a 60 guilders from about six guilders again remember the price of this flower became the almost the price of a someone's salary a whole year seller the price of a house what happened to that bubble and that very badly as you can imagine yes it crashed and burned but the bottom line is that things like this patterns like this happen all the time and we need to remember that the bubble in Bitcoin can eventually have see something like this now in the meantime I still think there's money to be made here I'm not saying the bubble has reached its peak just yet but just be careful is what I'm saying because remember risk increases with price this is the biggest mistake that people make many folks think that as price rises that risk Falls wrong because any asset any asset it doesn't matter whether you think a safe asset like gold or indeed a good quality stock like Apple any asset when it becomes expensive also becomes risky so remember risk increases with price not decreases with price as it goes higher remember it's a very key lesson to understand so here's the thing if you think that bitcoin will never crash and they won't suffer the same consequences of other bubbles in history then guess what you are a pinhead and you're probably yes a moron because that means you've not learned the lessons of history like I've just mentioned here so in fact take a get this back in the year 2000 and 2001 actually big a part in the year in the 1990s many folks who are in denial about a bubble they were saying that dot-com stocks will never crash because they are the new economy but of course they did crash and as you can see it gave up many folks by the way this is very important to understand many folks jumped in at the wrong moment at the peak right here and these were folks who essentially were fearing of missing out their fear and they're gonna miss out on a huge money-making opportunity because never what was happening is their friends and people they knew were saying they were making tons and tons of money millions people becoming millionaires that dot-com stocks and these folks were saying hey I don't want to miss out on this so they jump in at the worst possible moment and guess what that's exactly what's gonna happen with Bitcoin you're gonna hear more your friends making tons and tons of money in Bitcoin and guess what that's gonna end really badly when that bubble is eventually burst and yes many folks are gonna lose their money when that bubble eventually drops like it did as you can see right there just be careful because and keep watching this show because we're going to talk about some of the methods we can use to know when to get out of the bubble as well now let's go to the next thing I want to just share with you some fantastic quotes from one of the best traders and investors of our time this is Jesse Livermore who said profits always take care of themselves but the losses never do is that speculation as old as the hills whatever happens in the stock market today has happened before and will happen again I have never forgotten that so remember patterns repeat history repeats so guys you need to have an exit strategy it is not mine hold it is bye and homework and the wards of Jim Cramer so the bottom line is it's not just about knowing when to buy you also have to know when to sell remember guys there are two things with wealth one is to make it the second is to keep it most folks are only folks are only focused on knowing how to make it all right so most books are essentially looking into buying Bitcoin but are they looking into keeping the money they've made you know keeping the profits probably not so I'm gonna make sure we cover both of this for you as well so let's keep watching this channel for more videos and updates will reveal to some of the exit strategies and also some of the opportunities we can have in Bitcoin and other markets please share this video with your friends on members on Facebook wherever it is and of course not to subscribe to our videos and guys what do you think when I hear your opinions please put your comments below this video my name is Alessio and thank you very much for watching court finance and he also check me out on my website
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